Looking Forward To 2012

Written by Derek Pease on .

ChrisLongArizonaCardinalsvStLouisRamsRTQ4NELLUuplWith the 2011 season having ended for Rams fans long ago and the stench sure to linger for a while it might be a good idea to move on…assuming you haven’t already. 2011 Was a disaster, no doubt about it. Even if the Rams win out, which they won’t, they will fall short on last season’s win total.

The best thing about 2011? It is not 2012. No, 2012 is a new start, another chance and based on this year’s performance a new, much more representative schedule (hopefully) and perhaps a new coach.  The blind faith so many felt after a 4-0 preseason can be renewed. Phrases like, “this is the year”, and “this season will be different” are sure to be heard throughout the Gateway city.

That is the beauty and allure of the NFL. One season’s performance does not guarantee the same result the next. The Rams are proof positive of that trend. Simply look back on 2009-2011and the point is made. That being said as a wise man once said it’s time to block out the bad and harness the good.

Here are 5 things to be excited about for 2012

Chris Long

Long is finally living up to his draft status this year and has 12 sacks in 12 games. It's tough to say anything positive about the St. Louis defense after the thrashing they have taken this year, but Long is it. He is having a career year and has recorded a sack in all but three games this season.

More than likely Long will finish the 2011 season in the top 5 for sacks. The continued development of Robert Quinn will only help Long that much more as teams will have to account for both. He won’t surprise anyone in 2012 but as his NFL skills seem to have matched up with his college talent he shouldn’t have to.

Time To Bench Sam Bradford

Written by Derek Pease on .

SamBradfordStLouisRamsvArizonaCardinalsQ2J6NzxLzsrl

The time has come this season to face a harsh reality. Sitting at 2-10 with four games remaining both the St. Louis Rams and Sam Bradford would be best served if he does not take another snap.  How the Rams handle Bradford for the remainder of the season will have a direct impact on the 2012 season. Need to be smart….time to usher in the Tom Brandstater era…well at least for the next four games.

Please understand this is not a performance related benching…rather one based on safety.  With Seattle, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and San Francisco on the horizon no good will come from bringing Sam back to soon, or as is the opinion of myself and others, at all this year.

Bench_Sam

Jim Thomas of the St. Louis Post Dispatch is already reporting that Bradford may sit in favor of Brandstater for the upcoming Monday Night Football spectacular featuring the Rams and Seahawks. Why not take it one step further and sit him the rest of the way. As Tim pointed out no reason to make Sam a $50 million tackling dummy, at least not more than Spagnuolo has already.

Going up against four of the league’s best defenses to finish the season got even tougher with the injury to right guard Jacob Bell.  Bell was the sole survivor of the Rams' starting offensive line on opening day playing his original position. Since then, starting tackles Jason Smith (concussion) and Rodger Saffold (pectoral) have been placed on injured reserve. Center Jason Brown was benched and eventually moved to right guard. Dahl was moved to tackle because of the injury to Smith.

Playing Bradford behind the new make-shift line only exposes him and the Rams to further damage. Remember Bradford was drafted under the old CBA so that $50 million guarantee needs to be protected…AND developed. Going out and getting pummeled, and dinking and dunking his way through the last four games will not further his abilities.

We all see the offense for what it is, and we all see that it has not been affected positively one way or another by who is behind center.  Despite missing three games Bradford has been sacked 32 times this season, 2nd in the NFL behind only Ben Roethlisberger. And I think everyone will agree that Bradford is quite built the same as Big Ben.

What will benefit Sam and the Rams is time for the quarterback to heal, to survive, and go into the off season healthy. Allow him what he was not given as a rookie. Time. Time with the clip board and head set on. Time to watch the game in front of him. Time with his offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and QB coach (oh wait) to talk and learn from him.

If 2012 is going to be a positive one in any regards the Rams need a healthy Sam Bradford behind center. Not a shell of the man they drafted gun-shy and hearing footsteps.

Season-ending Reckoning For The Rams

Written by Will on .

4th-down
The season has entered its fourth down. It's time to punt.

Let's plant a marker down here, shall we?

Twelve weeks in, Sam Bradford's ankle (read: his offensive line) is apparently too tetchy for him to continue the season, and AJ Feeley just reached his expiration date. So it's Tom Brandstater time, or so it appears, and you can pretty much throw out whatever happens next in any evaluation of this Rams team. 

So let's take stock of where we are, right now, and bookmark this page for any postseason reflections on this Rams team. Because these last four upcoming games are going to be about as meaningful as the next four installments of the Scream franchise. Only scarier.

Record: 2-10
The season started with a six-game losing streak, and finishes with a three game one. Those last three are particularly disappointing, as they cover the tail end of a ridiculously soft November schedule, and drop our division record to 0-4.

The turning point for this team came following Week 8's shocker over New Orleans, when the Rams had finally appeared to figure out how to put everything together. Bradford came back from his injury layoff and the transmission fell out of the offense with an audible clunk. But after taking it to the superior Saints, we held a slap-fight with the measly Cardinals. In a last gasp to reassert some sort of dominance, Spagnuolo decided to go for it on 4th and 1 late in the game. And failed. Overtime. Punt. Game. Over. Season. Over.

Offensive Stats: 

  • 284 yards per game (31st)
  • 11.7 yards per game (32nd)
  • 28% 3rd down conversion rate (32nd)
  • 98.6 rushing yards per game (27th)
  • 185.4 passing yards per game (28th)
  • 43 sacks in 12 games (32nd)
  • 11 offensive touchdowns (32nd)
  • Average time of possession: 27:54 (27th)
Keep in mind that these stats are only going to get worse with Brandstater, if that's possible. I mention this to forewarn any Josh McDaniels apologists who might try to say that his numbers were deflated by whatever atrocities happen in these last four weeks.

This is a truly awful offense that never built any one area of excellence, never maintained any sort of schematic consistency, never gave its team or its fans any kind of sense that a foundation was being built. Sometimes there's granite under the muck and the mire. Not here. 

What's worse, even if the Rams wanted to keep McDaniels, I'm not sure he'd want to stay. Not with the team facing a complete demolition and rebuild on the offensive line -- the key reason why his vertical offense failed, and will continue to fail, here. 

Arguably, if you gave Bradford and McDaniels more time -- and i'm not talking about the offseason, or more practices, or more years together, I'm talking about an extra 2 to 3 seconds in the pocket on every single play -- this relationship could bear fruit. But there's no way we can expect that to happen, not with this lineup. 

Defensive Stats:

  • 366 yards per game (23rd)
  • 24.7 points per game (25th) 
  • 39% 3rd down conversion rate (19th)
  • 157.8 rushing yards per game (32nd)
  • 208.4 passing yards per game (8th)
  • 33 sacks in 12 games (T-5th)
  • 87.3 opp. passer rating (23rd)
  • 27 opp touchdowns allowed (16th)
I throw passer rating into the mix for the defense because otherwise that lofty 8th ranked pass defense seems anomalous. Yes, they were surprisingly good despite being able to fill an entire casting call for The Walking Dead from their IR list. But opponents could still put together an above-average passing day on the Rams if they wanted or needed to. Thanks to our inept offense and run defense (do these themes sound familiar?), they rarely did.

Again, these numbers are only going to get worse. Our defense is going to get left on the field for ridiculous amounts of time, and the storyline we saw against San Francisco -- hold strong early, wear out late -- is just going to be repeated. 

Those who like Spagnuolo as a defensive coach (and I'm one of them, most of the time) will point to the continued hard effort being given by his team. And that is commendable. And it should recommend him well to a future position as defensive coordinator. But the offense's woes fall partly on his shoulders as well, particularly in their lack of ability to sustain success from week to week.

The Rams have reverted strongly to "Spagball" since that win over the Saints, and it has killed any momentum the team might have built. A recurring theme of this team under Spagnuolo is that they do not handle winning well.

If this team experiences the slightest amount of success, Spags' first thought is to safeguard that success, to cherish and protect it at all costs. There is a constant fear of losing, a fear of negative outcomes that floods any thoughts of continuing to be aggressive, continuing to take the fight to the other team. You simply cannot build a winner in the NFL that way. 

Special Teams Stats: 
  • 22.3 avg kickoff return distance (28th)
  • 12.3 avg punt return distance (4th)
  • 23.2 avg opp. kickoff return (14th)
  • 11.4 avg opp. punt return distance (21st)
  • 78.9 FG% (15 of 19) (26th) 
    •  

The one area where the Rams' improved young depth has paid off is in our special teams, and even this area of the team let us down this year. Not so much in the every day plays, but in a few key breakdowns that will be remembered far more vividly than any of the good things they did. 

Under coach Tom McMahon, and with Spags' roster full of grinders, our special teams play in general has improved from awful to adequate. But the lack of a weapon on the offensive side -- except for one scintillating Nick Miller punt return, perhaps the highlight of the second half of the season -- is all too apparent without Danny Amendola on the team.

So Where Do We Go From Here? 

That's a topic for another day.  

Rams-49ers: Recapping A Very Very Sad Day.

Written by Will on .

weary_willie
In lieu of a game photo, here's a picture of a sad clown. Pretty much the same thing.

There's really nothing to say about today's game against San Francisco.

The Rams showed up with two starters on the offensive line worth a damn, and one of them was hurt. Sam Bradford gimped around on the sideline as AJ Feeley got covered in red and gold. Steven Jackson averaged 1.8 yards per carry in the first half, and improved to a 2.0 yards per carry average in the second half. You know, garbage time yardage. Whatever. 

The San Francisco defense is every bit as good as it ever has been, even with Patrick Willis sitting most of it out. They have lateral speed to shut down any play that tries to go side to side, and enough discipline to snuff any play that tries to go north south between the tackles.

Alex Smith looked composed, and hit his receivers in stride, and of those receivers, he has some underrated and fast weapons to work with. The Rams defense played hard and kept the Niners out of the end zone early despite having their backs to the wall. But they couldn't hold up all game, and a trio of long-standing self-inflicted wounds dealt a death blow to this team.

We present them as a gallery, only to spare you the gory details, we'll substitute sad paintings from the world of art.

July 25, 2011: When Billy Devaney Lost His Way

Written by Will on .

Billy Devaney. Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images
If 2011 was his job interview, Billy Devaney is in big trouble.

For most of his tenure in St Louis, the most maddening part of watching Rams GM Billy Devaney go about his business was his patience. As we sat in our virtual war rooms and howled for Devaney to sign this player or that, he stayed silent and waited. His renovation of the Rams roster was slow, methodical, and for the most part, effective. 

From 2009-2010, Devaney and Spagnuolo identified dead wood and cut it loose, and replaced it with young players who were ready to buy in to what Spagnuolo and Steven Jackson were selling. Most of that youth came from their own draft board, with some players like Craig Dahl and Na'il Diggs coming from known systems.

The free agent solution was kept in a glass box behind Devaney's desk, like a fire axe or a display pistol. It was used rarely, and only for a specific purpose when all else failed. (I'm not counting undrafted free agents here, an arena where Devaney has done well.) 

    2009 New Free Agent Starters: FB Mike Karney, TE Bily Bajema, C Jason Brown, DT Gary Gibson, LB Paris Lenon, S Craig Dahl, S James Butler 

Brown was the only hotly contested free agent from this group, arguably the team's most necessary signing and at the same time, perhaps its worst from this group. He was a legitimate Pro Bowl center in Baltimore, but the Rams quickly found that he couldn't perform at the same level with lighter and less-disciplined guards on his flank.

The rest of these additions were added relatively late in free agency, bargain buys to fit specific needs. In 2010, Devaney took this smart-shopper mentality to an extreme.

    2010 New Free Agent Starters: DT Fred Robbins, LB Na'il Diggs

The Rams were starting a host of other new faces as well, including WRs Mark Clayton, Laurent Robinson and Brandon Gibson, who were acquired by low-risk trades over the past year. But when it came to going shopping on the open market, Devaney kept his focus narrow and his purse closed. 

His approach was frustrating to watch, but the results were fantastic. The Rams improved from 1-15 to 7-9, and none of us could argue that indeed a plan was in place, and was taking shape before our eyes. 10 of 14 regulars on offense and 8 of 11 on defense were either acquired in the draft, or with draft picks as collateral. And our special teams units and bench were loaded with players that were pushing for starting time.

But shortly afterwards, Bily Devaney and the Rams lost their way. This is how it happened.

Conservatively Moving-Force - Meets Immovable Object

Written by Derek Pease on .

What happens when an irresistible force meets an immovable object? Although it is not really a particularly deep philosophical question, it is a classic paradox. An irresistible force can move any object. An immovable object cannot be moved. Hmm. Makes a person think.

Perhaps a more fitting question heading into Sunday’s matchup with the 49ers would be; What happens when a conservatively-moving-force (force might be an overstatement) meets an immovable object? Of course I am referring to the St. Louis Rams offense going up against the San Francisco 49ers defense, particularly their daunted run defense.

Let us take a closer look at the “force” and object in question

First is a comparison the offense and defense for the Rams and the 49ers.

Rams

Rams_PFR


49ers

49ers_PFR


Next is a comparison of the Rams offense and the 49ers defense

Rams

Rams_NFL

49ers

49ers_DEF_NFL


This game did not seem as daunting when the schedule came out last spring. The 49ers were coming off a 6-10 campaign in 2010 that got coach Mike Singletary fired 15 games into what was San Francisco's eighth straight non-winning season. Heck, if anything most of us expected the schedule to get easier as the season moved on. Especially heading into division play.

But heading into December, the 49ers are in the thick of the playoff race. San Francisco, in fact, is planning to make Sunday's game against the visiting Rams a clinching party in Candlestick Park. A 49ers victory gives them their first NFC West title since 2002, so there will be no letting up on their old West Coast rivals. Increasing the level of difficulty for the Rams is that the 49ers will be well-rested, with a couple of extra days off following their loss in the Harbaugh Bowl last Thursday.

After scoring more than 16 points for only the second time this season, the Rams are next-to-last in points scored in the NFL with 140, just two more than Jacksonville. And they are 29th in total offense, which ranks teams according to yards gained.

The 49ers are ranked seventh in total defense and first in scoring defense.  So if the Rams are having trouble moving the ball and scoring against the likes of the Cardinals and Seahawks, how are they going to gain a first down against San Francisco?


Rams Coaching Candidates: Talking Jeff Fisher

Written by Will on .

jeff Fisher prowls the sidelines
Could the Rams' foe in 1999 be their savior in 2012?

Let me start out by saying that I am not quite ready to bid farewell to the Steve Spagnuolo era in St Louis. I find it very disappointing to see the foundation of good will that he and Billy Devaney helped build completely crumble away in a single short season. But this is what happens when you have a team that, for whatever reason, can barely compete against the league's worst teams. Fans and the fates turn against you, and it's time to start looking over the fences at the other options out there.

One of the names that comes up consistently in conversation with disgruntled Rams fans is the guy who once coached against us in the Super Bowl: Jeff Fisher. He carries a 147-126 career record, including the playoffs, and a reputation for building smart, hard-hitting, and fundamentally sound football teams. But does he live up to that reputation, under close scrutiny?

What follows is a transcript I had of a conversation with Tom Gower, writer for TotalTitans.com and FootballOutsiders.com and longtime Tennessee Titans observer, discussing Fisher's tenure and his tendencies in depth.

RamsHerd: Jeff Fisher was one of the longest-tenured coaches in the NFL before he was ultimately dismissed. He never won any Super Bowls in Tennessee, but did create a lengthy period of franchise stability and prosperity. How is he regarded in general by Titans fans? Does he get credit for building a contender? Or does he get slammed for not taking them to the next step?

Gower: Jeff Fisher didn't win a playoff game in his final seven years as head coach, and his teams only made it to the postseason twice. By that time, many fans, especially Tennessee natives who'd only known the four trips to the postseason in five years after LP Field opened in 1999, were beyond ready to see him go.

As an old Houston Oilers fan who knows the history of franchise instability, I think I have a broader perspective, but by the end of his tenure, Jeff Fisher seemed to be burned out as an NFL head coach, and even if a different head coach is virtually certain to be successful in the long term, it was time for a change.